Observe Business

Observations on Business, Government Policy, and Strategy

Browsing Posts published by vicparekh

LA Times put out an article a few days ago that caught the attention of everyone who has a uterus or has depended on one:

http://www.latimes.com/health/boostershots/la-heb-maternal-mortality-20110426,0,3749537.story

The title is sensationalist:

Caesarean sections are a major factor in pregnancy-related deaths, report finds

 

The title makes it sound like C-Sections are the culprit-but reading the article closely, the real culprits are increasing obesity, and poverty (poor women typically have more health problems).

The article’s data is based 90 extra deaths in 2002-2003 due to pregnancy complications. While each death is sad, it is a tiny, tiny fraction of the total. There were 551,000 births in California in 2008, so 2002 can’t be lower than 500,000. Of those 500,000, 90 extra deaths represents a .001% increase, which is statistically insignificant.

A live birth can only happen in two ways: traditional and C-section. Anyone with complications has to go C-section, therefore it is inherently more dangerous.

The report would have been much better if it had compared whether the mortality rate of the C-sections had increased for C-section procedures that had the same risk.

I would wager that C-sections were SAFER in 2002 than in 2001 if you take into the account the increased risk.

The link to the article says about 30 people participated in this review. They are all highly credentialed individuals. I wonder how many of them are going to put out a clarification.

Experts Panel for Maternity Mortality Study

Experts Panel for Maternity Mortality Study

This professor at University of Pavia (why couldn’t an American do this?) analyzed the NYTimes from 1946 to 1997 and found that during Presidential campaigns, the NYTimes focuses more on topics that benefit Democrats.

http://www.bepress.com/bejeap/vol11/iss1/art20/?sending=11376

I am outraged at all the ineffectual surveys on the Internet. The best types of survey is the Facebook ‘Like’ button. In one quick click, you can give your opinion.

At the other end of the usability spectrum is this survey from surveys.com. They ask trivial, ridiculous questions, and have horrid user design. Do they really expect someone to go through a ton of screens?

As a final insult, in the example below, they have checkboxes-as if someone could work in “Oil or Petrol” AND “Journalism”.

Badly designed Nokia survey

Badly designed Nokia survey

LinkedIn has a cool upsell

LinkedIn has changed the face of business networking, but they have to now prove they can earn revenue. Here is a cool way they are upselling. They composite your name and picture onto an upsell. Nice!

Going to war is easy…everyone gets emotional, and we decide to take out <whomever>. War doesn’t end on the day we declare peace. Taking care of the soldiers who went to war is a lifetime cost. We are still paying out disability pensions and VA health bills for veterans of WW2.

In WW2, we had a lot more fatalities and lot more injuries because of the state of medicine in those days.  It is the opposite these days. We have a lot more injuries than fatalities. A dead soldier is tragic-but an injured soldier who needs help and care for life is even more tragic.

And very, very expensive.

Did we really think about what war would cost us before we went in all guns blazing?

Here NPR talks about  a woman who went off to fight in Iraq. Post-discharge, she needs a lot of health care. I think that her medical bills will cost us $5 million over her lifetime. She has earned the care, no doubt about that.

Proof that politicians are ineffective everywhere: The EU agrees to police itself better. This is after the Greek debacle.

The NYTimes has an ith-tho-thad story about student loan debt(see this one about an auto dealership from CNN).
It goes on in detail about how Citibank and NYU loaned a student close to $100,000 for her college education. The article claims that the university should have done something, anything, to prevent her from being buried under student loan debt.
Now there are a lot of angles to this, such as the cost of higher education, and how universities call it ‘financial aid’ when it is actually not ‘aid’ but a loan.
I scrolled down to the bottom of the article where it told us what this woman (and she was a woman when she entered college, regardless of the article’s attempt to paint her as naive) had studied.
Get ready for this: “An interdisciplinary degree in Religion and Women’s Studies“.
WTF?
100K in student debt for this?
Does anyone expect to get a well paying job after studying this? This student came from a middle class family. She and her mother, (who runs a
B&B), should definitely have been thinking about a return on investment on her education.
Why didn’t the writer mention anything about her poor choice of academic major?

I read about the assassination of the Hamas official in Dubai earlier this year, and was struck by the amateurish nature of it. The Dubai police made a great presentation and were able to finger the members of the assassination team quite quickly. The Mossad looked stupid. I have no experience in spycraft but I have been to Dubai. It is totally on the water and very easy to blend into. Why did the Israelis just not sneak into Dubai onboard a ship? Why fly into Dubai and leave a paper trail?

Now here we have a flotilla blunder, where the Israelis miscalculated the situation and now we have a bunch of people dead, who did not need to die. Mossad could be faulted here because they should have made it their business to know about the ships in the flotilla and the intentions of the people on board the ships. The Israeli military went in thinking the ship passengers were  a bunch of peaceniks but instead got attacked.

Whenever an organization makes multiple mistakes I start thinking about what has changed in the organization. Has Mossad’s  goals changed? No. Has their incentive program changed? I don’t know. Has their recruitement strategy changed? I think so.

Here is an article that talks about how Mossad is ‘modernizing’ its recruitment strategy. I think this is the culprit here. Comparing employment with the  Mossad with employment at a for-profit company isn’t a valid comparison. Plus, if you try to recruit for the Mossad the way you recruit for a private sector company, you are going to get recruits not suited for the job. Recruits who will think differently and eventually undermine he organization. The article is dated from 2001, that is enough time for recruits from that time to come on board, act in a tactical capacity and eventually move up to strategy. And now, we see the results of that strategy. Again, this is all speculation on my part.

I promise no more posts about the Mossad or Israel for at least a month.

Lawsuits a rich source for entertainment and education. If you really want to understand the justice system, go to thesmokinggun.com and click through to link to any of the actual legal documents that are provided as PDF’s. TMZ also has some good stuff.

Today I’d like to talk about a guy in Florida who had an argument with a car dealer, Route 60 Hyundai,  that turned into a nasty affair. This guy took his Hyundai in for a repair, got a loaner and got into an argument with the dealer about the condition of the loaner when it was returned.

Things escalated but suffice it to say the guy was not happy and used his Twitter feed to bad mouth the dealer every chance he got.

The dealership sued him and this guy got this amazing lawyer, Marc Randazza. Here is his blog.This lawyer wrote one of the best written, most readable briefs I have ever read. If you are interested in knowing about defamation lawsuits, and how online reputations are made (and broken), you should take the time to read it. I promise that it is not lawyer-speak and is in fact very interesting.

Now, what I’d love to do is follow up and find out what Hyundai did to improve its online reputation. I’d love it if Hyundai was watching the twitter-verse (twitter universe), had detected the complaints and moved to do something about it.

Original article from Bluemoon.ee

People find the most interesting uses for data. This developer took photos uploaded to a photo-sharing site and generated a map of the most ‘touristy’ places in the world.

What is interesting is how the developer leveraged the data out there  to generate this view:

1) First he got the raw data from Panoramio using an API

2) Then he used the Google Maps API to display a  map of the data on Google Maps by analyzing the geographic distribution of photos

On a personal note, the link is titled ‘Great places to avoid’. I wonder if he means that the touristy places are the ones to avoid and the non-touristy places are the ones to visit. I would rebut that statement by saying that people are voting with their dollars and their feet, and I think a week in Paris or New Zealand, both heavily touristed, is a lot more fun that a week in the Congo.